Extreme Heat Risk in Australia: Insights from the PERC

Cale Johnstone
February 18, 2026
Heat through a systems lens. Credit: Australian Red Cross.
Heat through a systems lens. Credit: Australian Red Cross.

Extreme heat is Australia’s deadliest natural hazard — yet it remains largely invisible, normalised, and under-addressed.

This Post-Event Review Capability (PERC) on extreme heat presents a comprehensive, systems-based analysis of how heat risk is shaped, experienced, and managed in Australia. Rather than treating extreme heat as an individual coping challenge, the PERC series examines how risk emerges through the interaction of hazard, exposure, vulnerability and capacity — and how impacts cascade across health, infrastructure, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential services.

Delivered collaboratively by Australian Red Cross, ISET-International, Monash University, the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, and Zurich Australia, with support from Zurich Insurance Group, this PERC applies a globally recognised disaster review methodology to one of Australia’s most pressing and complex risks.

Key takeaways

It kills more people than all other natural hazards combined, but its impacts are cumulative, normalised as “just summer,” and often overlooked. The PERC reveals how risk builds across repeated hot seasons, creating long-term health, social and systemic consequences.

The ability to “tough it out” can mask escalating impacts as summers grow longer and hotter. Aligning how heat is defined, measured and discussed supports clearer decision-making, stronger planning, and earlier action.

Extreme heat affects people and the systems they depend on simultaneously — infrastructure, housing, energy, workplaces, health services and urban design. Risk emerges from how these systems interact, meaning resilience cannot rely on isolated interventions.

Extreme heat is an under-recognised occupational hazard, particularly for outdoor, physically demanding and precarious work. Many workers continue operating without adequate protections, plans or reporting mechanisms. Regulation, workplace planning, education and employer awareness are critical entry points for reducing harm.

Government, industry, communities and civil society all play a role. By understanding how heat becomes a disaster, decision-makers can act now to strengthen resilience, protect lives and reduce long-term social and economic impacts.

A Three-Part Analysis

Together, the three interconnected reports build a layered understanding of extreme heat risk — from framing the risk, to workplace impacts, to lived experience in an urban setting.

Understanding Extreme Heat and Entry Points for Action

  • Establishes the conceptual and policy foundations for addressing heat risk in Australia.
  • Clarifies key concepts, measurement approaches and thresholds, and identifies practical entry points for action across policy and community levels.

Heat Stress at Work

  • Examines how extreme heat affects workers across sectors, particularly those in high-exposure or precarious roles.
  • Highlights regulatory, economic and workplace factors that influence risk, and identifies opportunities to strengthen worker protection and embed heat risk management within occupational health and safety systems.

Strengthening Resilience to Extreme Heat: An Adelaide Case Study

  • Explores how extreme heat manifests in everyday urban life through a systems lens.
  • A fictional family narrative brings systemic risks to life, illustrating how compounding pressures unfold during heat events and identifying leverage points for cities seeking to strengthen resilience.

Heat impacts virtually every system that underpins community wellbeing — power, water, housing, transport, healthcare, education and livelihoods. When these systems are strained or fail, risks compound, disproportionately affecting those with the least capacity to adapt.

Despite this, heat is often treated as “business as usual.” This PERC challenges that framing. It demonstrates that extreme heat is not only a climate issue, but a governance, infrastructure, labour, health and urban development issue — requiring coordinated, cross-sector action.

The PERC Adelaide study complements the Urban Climate Resilience Program (UCRP), which brings together global partners to advance climate resilience in cities. Led in Australia by Australian Red Cross and Zurich Australia, UCRP combines community-led action with local government engagement. PERC highlights shared extreme heat experiences, informing locally led solutions and evidence-based strategies that strengthen urban resilience across Australia and beyond.

This PERC was also supported by the Zurich Flood Resilience Alliance. The Alliance is a multi-sectoral partnership, powered by the Z Zurich Foundation, focused on enhancing resilience to climate hazards in both rural and urban communities. By implementing solutions, promoting good practice, influencing policy and facilitating systemic change, we aim to ensure that all communities facing climate hazards are able to thrive. Find out more: www.ZCRAlliance.org

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