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Anticipatory action

Opportunities and challenges for people-centered multi-hazard early warning systems: Perspectives from the Global South

This perspective critically examines the challenges and opportunities of implementing people-centered multi-hazard early warning systems (MHEWS) in the Global South. Despite global initiatives, such as the Early Warnings for All initiative, operational realities lag behind. By exploring the needs of the most vulnerable and how core concepts of multi-hazard thinking (e.g., hazard interrelationships and vulnerability […]

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Toolkit for anticipatory action in fragile, conflict- and violence-affected settings

This toolkit brings together hands-on resources to support practitioners in implementing conflict-sensitive, effective, and sustainable anticipatory action in fragile, conflict- and violence-affected (FCV) contexts. The toolkit was developed by the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, the Anticipation Hub and the International Water Management Institute, under the CGIAR Fragility, Conflict and Migration Initiative and in

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Red Cross volunteers train migrants in Bangladesh on first aid, early warning systems, and other skills so they can respond to flooding, cyclones, and other hazards.

Pre-Financing Anticipatory Action: Lessons Learned from the Bangladesh Red Crescent Society

Since 2015, the Bangladesh Red Crescent Society (BDRCS) has been at the forefront of anticipatory action, developing trigger models and testing early action activities for cyclones, floods, and heatwaves. By 2024, BDRCS had validated three Early Action Protocols (EAPs), targeting over 200,000 people, with an estimated activation cost of 940,000 CHF. Between 2019 and 2024,

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Community members in Bangladesh take part in a disaster preparedness drill, carrying the Bangladesh Red Crescent and national flags through a flooded area. The exercise highlights the role of anticipatory action and pre-financing in enabling swift early response to coastal hazards.

Pre-Financing Anticipatory Action: A Practical Guide for National Societies

Anticipatory action is expanding and being mainstreamed across the Red Cross Red Crescent Movement. As National Societies add more Early Action Protocols (EAPs) and scale up their anticipatory action programming, developing an anticipatory action pre-financing strategy is essential to ensuring timely and effective implementation. The window for anticipatory action is a critical period when humanitarian

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Understanding evacuation behavior during cyclones: Evidence from Bangladesh

This paper examines evacuation behaviors in response to approaching cyclones using survey data collected through face-to-face interviews with residents in coastal areas of Bangladesh. Various statistical models, including probit, panel probit, bivariate probit, and multinomial logit models, are used to analyze the determinants of both past and future evacuation decisions, as well as the choice

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Assessment of Early Action for Flood Protection in Makhuwira: Understanding Last-Mile Community Response to Flood Warning in Chikwawa District

About this Paper Flooding remains a major threat to last-mile communities in Malawi, particularly in Makhuwira, Chikwawa District, where poverty and limited resources constrain disaster preparedness. This study investigates the effectiveness of early warning systems and household-level early actions during Cyclone Freddy, using a mixed-methods approach that combines household surveys, key informant interviews, and focus

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Case Study: Zambia Floods Early Action Protocol Activation

This case study highlights the Zambia Red Cross Society’s (ZRCS) activation of its Early Action Protocol (EAP) for riverine floods in January 2023. Developed with support from the Netherlands Red Cross, the EAP uses predictive tools like GloFAS to trigger anticipatory actions aimed at reducing flood risks. Following alerts for Kitwe and Kafue districts, ZRCS

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Preparedness for winter weather and response by National Societies in Europe and Central Asia

This briefing note outlines common winter weather hazards experienced across Europe and Central Asia, and the ways in which National Societies are preparing for and responding to them. It also provides insights into how the changing climate is influencing weather hazards, and highlights how National Societies can adapt plans, programmes and operations to take into

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‘Disasters can’t happen here. Lord Jagannath will save Us ‘: Exploring women’s experience of barriers to EWS in Odisha, India

Authors and Collaborators:  Principal Investigator: Chinmayee Mishra, Department of Sociology, Utkal University Co-Principal Investigator: Dr. Bishnuprasad Mohapatra, Department of Sociology, Malyagiri Mahavidyalaya Field Investigator: Archita Bala Patra, Urmila Sahoo This study explores barriers to Early Warning Systems (EWS) access and disaster preparedness among women in Puri, Odisha, following Cyclone Fani. Women, particularly from marginalized socio-economic

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From Informality to Impact – The Untapped Potential of Scaling Urban Resilience Innovation in Informality

From Informality to Impact – The Untapped Potential of Scaling Urban Resilience Innovation in Informality Policy and Investment Briefing Note 9 November 2024 Currently only 1.2% of urban climate investments flow to climate change adaptation and resilience solutions. Increasing investment flows requires diversifying and strengthening the solution pipeline across different models – for-profit, not-for-profit, private-sector-led and private–public partnerships,

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