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Towards Participatory Flood Early Warning for Early Action: A Situational Analysis of Flood Risk Communication in the Zambezi Region, Namibia

Authors: Deolfa Josè Moisès, and Yong Sebastian Nyam, University of the Free State, South Africa. Flood hazards are complex events with severe consequences, particularly for rural riparian communities that depend on natural resources for their livelihoods. Developing risk communication strategies that prompt effective early action has become a key priority in global hazard risk reduction. […]

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Community-led Early Actions (EA)s on Flash Flood events in North-Eastern Bangladesh

Authors and Collaborators:  Shampa, Shammi Haque, Sonia Binte Murshed, Md. Hasanur Rahman, Md Rayhan, Shahriar Ahmed Toufiq, Mashfiqus Salehin, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology Erin Coughlan de Perez, Tufts University, USA Flash flood forecasting and management present a significant global challenge. Critical factors such as risk perception, timely forecasting, effective communication, and the capacity to respond

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Factors Influencing Accessibility and Actionability of Risk Reduction Measures in Last Mile Communities: Insights from the Northern Philippines

Author: Rhomir Yanquiling, University of Melbourne This research explores the factors influencing the accessibility and actionability of early warning systems (EWS) and risk reduction measures in last-mile communities in Northern Philippines. The study focuses on two vulnerable communities, Mapita and Cabalitian, that were affected by Super Typhoon Mangkhut. Utilizing a mixed-methods approach, including surveys, interviews,

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Utilization of Heat Early Warning Resources Within Slum Communities in Nigeria

Authors: Olumuyiwa Bayode Adegun (Federal University of Technology Akure), Tobi Eniolu Morakinyo (University College Dublin), Peter Elias (University of Lagos) This research investigates the use of early warning resources for extreme heat in slum communities in Akure and Lagos in Nigeria. The study was driven by the increasing vulnerability of slum residents to heatwaves exacerbated

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Understanding climate change – internal migration/displacement nexus in the context of coastal cities

Download Full report: Understanding Climate Change – Coastal and Displacement This study presents a synthesis of the currently available data, analysis and projections, and reports on climate induced displacement and migration in coastal communities. It attempts to unpack the compounding effects of internal migration/displacement caused by climate-weather related events on cities and towns located in

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Informing decision-making about indoor heat risks to human health

Due to climate change, a growing number of people around world are facing serious health risks from exposure to heat inside their own homes, or in public or privately managed facilities, such as schools, health facilities, prisons or care homes. Without respite and access to cooling, high day- and night-time indoor temperatures pose significant health

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Predicting hurricane evacuation decisions with interpretable machine learning methods

The present study proposed a novel interpretable machine learning approach to predict household-level evacuation decisions by leveraging easily accessible demographic and resource-related predictors, compared to existing models that mainly rely on psychological factors. An enhanced logistic regression model (that is, an interpretable machine learning approach) was developed for accurate predictions by automatically accounting for nonlinearities

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Climate threats to coastal infrastructure and sustainable development outcomes

Using a high-resolution dataset of 8.2 million households in Bangladesh’s coastal zone, researchers assess the extent to which infrastructure service disruptions induced by flood, cyclone and erosion hazards can thwart progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Climate hazards pose increasing threats to development outcomes across the world’s coastal regions by impacting infrastructure service delivery.

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Advancing disaster risk communications

This publication posits that effective communication of disaster threats to decision makers and at-risk communities is a growing challenge in a people-centred approach to disaster risk reduction. Traditional communication approaches tend to involve either top-down risk management practices or bottom-up community health and education practices. However, the strategic intent of communications – whether that be

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Effects of anticipatory humanitarian cash assistance to households forecasted to experience extreme flooding: evidence from Bangladesh

The 2020 monsoon floods in Bangladesh were among the most severe and protracted in decades. Instead of waiting for disaster to strike, the Bangladesh Red Crescent Society used impact-based forecast data to reach nearly 3,800 vulnerable households along the Jamuna River with a one-off unconditional cash transfer of BDT 4,500 (about $53) before peak flooding

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